REGULAR SEASON RECAP
The sum of all of their 2018 money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 6.3 wins. Their 5 actual wins was below expectation. They met expectations at home, it was on the road that they struggled. They went 1-7 on the road and were expected to win 2.6. Their 50% home win percentage was as expected (46.7%). Anyone who backed the Buccaneers in all of their games on the money line would have earned a +20 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have lost -70 units risking 110 to win 100 (7-7 ATS). Below is a recap of all 16 regular games.
They are an above average scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game and a below average defensive TD rate.
| Season Recap |
PPG-PA |
Money Line |
ATS Record |
O/U Record |
| All Games |
24.8 – 29.0 |
5-11, +20 |
7-7, -70 |
9-7 56.2% Over |
| On Road |
27.0 – 35.8 |
1-7, -325 |
3-3, -30 |
6-2 75% Over |
| At Home |
22.5 – 22.2 |
4-4, +20 |
4-4, -40 |
3-5 62.5% Under |
| 12/30 ATL |
32-34 |
Loss -100 |
Covered +2.5 |
Over 51.5 |
| 12/23 @DAL |
20-27 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Push +7 |
Under 48 |
| 12/16 @BAL |
12-20 |
Loss -100 |
Covered +8.5 |
Under 44.5 |
| 12/9 NO |
14-28 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss +9.5 |
Under 54.5 |
| 12/2 CAR |
24-17 |
Win +160 |
Covered +3.5 |
Under 52 |
| 11/25 SF |
27-9 |
Win +77 |
Covered -2 |
Under 54.5 |
| 11/18 @NYG |
35-38 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Push +3 |
Over 54 |
| 11/11 WAS |
3-16 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss -3.5 |
Under 51 |
| 11/4 @CAR |
28-42 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss +6 |
Over 55.5 |
| 10/28 @CIN |
34-37 |
Loss -100 |
Covered +3.5 |
Over 55 |
| 10/21 CLE |
26-23 |
Win +53 |
ATS Loss -3.5 |
Under 52.5 |
| 10/14 @ATL |
29-34 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss +3 |
Over 57.5 |
| 9/30 @CHI |
10-48 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss +3 |
Over 46 |
| 9/24 PIT |
27-30 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss -1 |
Over 55 |
| 9/16 PHI |
27-21 |
Win +130 |
Covered +3 |
Over 46.5 |
| 9/9 @NO |
48-40 |
Win +375 |
Covered +10 |
Over 49.5 |
TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):
| SITUATION |
PTS/G |
TD/PLAY |
YPP |
PASSYD |
YPA |
RUSHYD |
YPC |
TO/GAME |
| Past 16 Games |
24.8 (#12) |
4.6% (#9) |
6.8 (#3) |
335 (#1) |
8.6 (#2) |
95 (#29) |
3.9 (#31) |
2.2 (#32) |
| On the Road |
27.0 (#5) |
5.0% (#5) |
6.9 (#3) |
332 (#3) |
8.6 (#2) |
100 (#20) |
4.1 (#22) |
2.2 (#30) |
| At Home |
22.5 (#20) |
4.3% (#15) |
6.7 (#3) |
338 (#2) |
8.5 (#5) |
90 (#30) |
3.7 (#32) |
2.1 (#31) |
| Last 4 Games |
19.5 (#23) |
3.8% (#18) |
6.0 (#17) |
263 (#12) |
7.2 (#13) |
86 (#26) |
3.9 (#20) |
1.2 (#10) |
TEAM DEFENSE:
| SITUATION |
PTS/G |
TD/PLAY |
YPP |
PASSYD |
YPA |
RUSHYD |
YPC |
TO/GAME |
| Past 16 Games |
29.0 (#31) |
5.5% (#32) |
6.6 (#26) |
274 (#26) |
8.2 (#32) |
124 (#24) |
4.7 (#20) |
1.1 (#22) |
| Road Games |
35.8 (#32) |
7.1% (#32) |
7.0 (#25) |
275 (#24) |
9.3 (#32) |
132 (#25) |
4.6 (#21) |
0.5 (#29) |
| Home Games |
22.2 (#20) |
4.0% (#18) |
6.3 (#23) |
273 (#27) |
7.4 (#17) |
116 (#18) |
4.7 (#22) |
1.6 (#12) |
| Last 4 Games |
27.2 (#28) |
4.3% (#22) |
5.5 (#17) |
219 (#12) |
7.1 (#20) |
133 (#23) |
4.0 (#11) |
1.2 (#16) |
Stream Tampa Bay games with SlingTV
| Season Recap |
PPG-PA |
Money Line |
ATS Record |
O/U Record |
| All Games |
24.8 – 29.0 |
5-11, +20 |
7-7, -70 |
9-7 56.2% Over |
| On Road |
27.0 – 35.8 |
1-7, -325 |
3-3, -30 |
6-2 75% Over |
| At Home |
22.5 – 22.2 |
4-4, +20 |
4-4, -40 |
3-5 62.5% Under |
| 12/30 ATL |
32-34 |
Loss -100 |
Covered +2.5 |
Over 51.5 |
| 12/23 @DAL |
20-27 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Push +7 |
Under 48 |
| 12/16 @BAL |
12-20 |
Loss -100 |
Covered +8.5 |
Under 44.5 |
| 12/9 NO |
14-28 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss +9.5 |
Under 54.5 |
| 12/2 CAR |
24-17 |
Win +160 |
Covered +3.5 |
Under 52 |
| 11/25 SF |
27-9 |
Win +77 |
Covered -2 |
Under 54.5 |
| 11/18 @NYG |
35-38 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Push +3 |
Over 54 |
| 11/11 WAS |
3-16 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss -3.5 |
Under 51 |
| 11/4 @CAR |
28-42 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss +6 |
Over 55.5 |
| 10/28 @CIN |
34-37 |
Loss -100 |
Covered +3.5 |
Over 55 |
| 10/21 CLE |
26-23 |
Win +53 |
ATS Loss -3.5 |
Under 52.5 |
| 10/14 @ATL |
29-34 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss +3 |
Over 57.5 |
| 9/30 @CHI |
10-48 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss +3 |
Over 46 |
| 9/24 PIT |
27-30 |
Loss -100 |
ATS Loss -1 |
Over 55 |
| 9/16 PHI |
27-21 |
Win +130 |
Covered +3 |
Over 46.5 |
| 9/9 @NO |
48-40 |
Win +375 |
Covered +10 |
Over 49.5 |
