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How the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Can Make the Playoffs

You can use The Upshot’s playoff simulator to explore all of the _’ remaining paths to the playoffs — and the paths for every other team. You can explore other possibilities, like whether your team can get a first-round bye or win the division, right here:

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First, consider the ’ remaining games.

See what happens if the _ win

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Color highlights particularly important games: outcomes in green help the _’ odds, while those in pink hurt them. As you choose outcomes, the color changes to reflect the new effect of other games.

Week 6

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

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Week 7

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 8

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 9

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 10

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 11

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 12

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 13

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 14

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 15

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 16

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

Week 17

VISITOR WINS

HOME WINS

TIE

RESET

About the simulator

With 178 games remaining, there are about 383 sexdecillion different ways the N.F.L. regular season could end. How many of those put the _ in the playoffs? Far too many to check by hand.

So we built this simulator. Most calculators force you to choose the winners of each remaining game. Here, you can choose the outcomes of just a few games and see how your team’s chances grow or shrink. (For more information about this simulator, check out our intro post.)

We estimate odds by randomly simulating the remainder of the season thousands of times and counting how often the _ _.

If you don’t specify an outcome for a particular game, we use Sagarin ratings to estimate each team’s chances of winning. (For simplicity, we assume each game has a small chance of ending in a tie.)

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